US Market Review 25th May 2021

by Elina Nikolova

The S&P500 reached an all-time high on May 10th 2021 before suffering consecutive daily price drops. The Index found support on the Uptrend line formed from March 23rd 2020 bottom. The 50 day Moving Average (MA50) is following the uptrend line and acts as a second strengthening line of support for the price at those levels. The MACD lines are trending above the zero line and the signal line is crossed above the MACD line. The price yesterday broke and closed above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at 4158.50 and is now aiming for the all time high at 4238.25. The price now is at around 4207.00
For the bulls, important resistance levels exist at 4238.25 all time high of May 10th, also at 1.618 Fibonacci extension level at 4367.50, and finally the 2.618 Fibonacci extension target at price 4576.50.
For the bears, important support levels exist at 4133.75 which is the 0.50 Fibonacci retracement level that coincides with the MA50 and the Uptrend line. Other support levels at 4029.25 low of May 13th 2021 and the 3978.50 level derived from the inside support of March 18th top.

• It’s a busy day ahead on the economic calendar, with private sector PMIs for May in focus. Other activity will be focused on the US CB Consumer Confidence result, the CAD Corporate Profits figures as well as the New Home Sales and FOMC member speeches.

• U.S. stocks climbed on Monday, with the Nasdaq jumping more than 1% as a retreat in U.S. Treasury yields helped lift expensive stocks in sectors such as technology as investors attempt to gauge the trajectory of inflation.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 186.14 points, or 0.54%, to 34,393.98, the S&P 500 gained 41.19 points, or 0.99%, to 4,197.05 and the Nasdaq Composite added 190.18 points, or 1.41%, to 13,661.17.

• U.S. Federal Reserve officials, including Governor Lael Brainard, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and St. Louis Fed President James Bullard, reiterated that any inflation was temporary.
Bullard said on Monday that the central bank is not ready to pare back its stimulus measures, and expected inflation is to rise above 2% in 2021 and into 2022.

• Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA) shares rose more than 2% Monday as the company sought to strengthen its global presence as a key supplier of Covid-19 vaccines by expanding its agreement with Aldevron, its existing supplier of plasmid DNA.

• Gold was down on Tuesday morning, but remained near its highest level in more than four months, as investors digested comments by U.S. Federal Reserve officials that sought to assuage inflation concerns.
Gold futures were down 0.23% to $1,880.15 at the time.

• Oil prices were steady on Tuesday morning , holding around one-week highs after jumping more than 3% the previous session as investors tempered expectations of an early return of oil exporter Iran to international crude markets.
Brent crude futures were down 1 cent at $68.45 a barrel by 0701 GMT, having jumped 3% on Monday. U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures were off 8 cents at $65.97 a barrel, after gaining 3.9% the previous session.

• At 11:40 (GMT) FOMC Member Charles Evans is due to speak about the economy at an online event hosted by the Bank of Japan.

• At 12:30 (GMT) CAD Corporate Profits q/q due to be announced. This indicator measures the change in the total value of pretax net income earned by corporations.

• At 14:00 (GMT) US Conference Board (CB) Consumer Confidence is to be publicised. This is a Survey of about 3,000 households which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current and future economic conditions including labor availability, business conditions, and overall economic situation.

• At 14:00 (GMT) New Home sales figures will come out. This report shows the Annualized number of new single-family homes that were sold during the previous month.

• At 14:00 (GMT) FOMC Member Randal Quarles is due to testify on the Federal Reserve’s supervision and regulation of the financial system before the Senate Banking Committee, via satellite.

US Indices yesterday:

• Dow Jones +0.54%
• S&P 500 +0.99%
• Nasdaq +1.41%

Sources: Investing.com, forexfactory.com.